Sakakawea 2017 Predictions

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vanhookguide's picture
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Sakakawea 2017 Predictions

It's that time of year and I'm sitting here thinking about the summer to come. Just wondering what everyone predicts for this summer's peak elevation for Sakakawea. I can tell you this, right now the lake is at about 1840.41 and rising fast. We've got 53,000 cfs coming in with a lot of snow still up in the Yellowstone basin. Anyone care to take a guess? Hmmm perhaps fishing buddy could make this a real contest and throw in a prize?

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1855

Db

vanhookguide's picture
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I hope it doesn't hit 1855, that would be a new record high, which is above the spillway isn't it. I'm thinking 1848, they'll start running water pretty soon.

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I'm guessing somewhere near 1847.  Releases are going up to 22,000 CFS next week and I've heard 30,000 CFS for the summer.  That should slow the rise somewhat.

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1846-1848 

 

1846 by June 12, then possibly 1848 by july 4

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1846-48 would be great ,  how about the fishing , I am predicting as good or better than last year

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I don't recall what last year's peak was, seems like 1842? Anybody know? If the water is higher this year, as compared to last, shallow water fishing will be amazing. The walleye and all the bait love to hit the flooded grass for insect larvae and baitfish. Seems the population is very strong, and have been feeding well all winter. According to a couple of ice fishermen I know with cameras, the forage population is just insane. Walleye caught last month were built like footballs!

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I see were on four ocassions it was over 1854 so maybe high with my 1855.  Appears in 2011 when it hit 1854.6 the gates were open.  Do not live around there so not sure as to what all has happen.  Just hope they plan accordingly and accurately so no big problems with releasing a whole bunch of water at one time for those below the dam. db

Db

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I see it it is down to 35,000 cfs coming in, and 13,800 cfs going out as of today 03/28/2017.  The outflow should start to increase any day.  I will say about 1846+, but not over 1847, more on the order like they estimated.  Fishing will be ok early -- on the east end or 1/3 -- but with higher water levels they will have more places to hide and more area to search for them so it won't be as good later on -- but then again who knows for sure.  I would say the western -- White Earth and west -- part of the lake will be good all year!

 

Jeff

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July 31, 2016 reservoir level was 1841.2 according to the COE reports.   We're going to be a lot higher than that.

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Rising water means cold water. Means more places for fish to be. Granted, there won't be any extraordinary cover as the vegetation had no big chance to grow. 

People always overstate great fishing with rising water. So I think it will be normal to below normal fishing until water temps can get traction. 

 


 

 

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Well, the latest three week projection from the Corps has the lake topping out at 1846.6 about July 1st.  It's anybody's guess how long they will keep releases at 36,000 CFS but, lacking a huge rain event out west, the inflows should be dropping below the outflows.

http://www.nwd-mr.usace.army.mil/rcc/reports/twregfcast.pdf